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Home > Support Center > Reports, Queries, and Lists > Reconstruct a Historical SIRAS Population Estimate
Reconstruct a Historical SIRAS Population Estimate
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Historical Population Estimate — Fallback Method Use this page when the LEA did not preserve an actual SIRAS Current snapshot on the date being researched and now needs to estimate the earlier population from archived history.
Data Monitoring Journey Learn · Plan
You are here: Reconcile & Repeat → reconstruct a missed historical population.

What Do You Need to Reconstruct?

This is an estimate, not a recovered snapshot. Reconcile it against SENR data from the same time frame. Archived SIRAS events show what was documented at meetings/reporting events. They do not guarantee the exact Current population that appeared on an earlier date. Going forward, preserve the actual file with Census Day Search and Store.

Quick Historical Estimate

  1. Select Search → Predefined Queries.
  2. Open CALPADS Historical Estimates.
  3. Select the academic year you need.
  4. Choose the Census/EOY estimate that best matches the question.
  5. Search to List.
  6. Review the resulting archived records before treating the count as a student population.
SIRAS Predefined Queries area showing CALPADS Historical Estimates and academic-year selection

CALPADS Historical Estimates provide a quick starting population from archived SIRAS records.

The predefined query builds archive criteria that can be reviewed or modified in Search → Historical/Advanced.

SIRAS historical estimate results focused on archived records reported during a selected academic year

A historical estimate can be narrowed toward unique/reportable archived records, but it remains an estimate of the earlier student population.

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Why the Archive Set Is Only an Estimate

Querying archived records can over-count or under-count students when the goal is a head count:

  • one student may have several archived events during the year;
  • another student may have no new meeting archive during the period even though the student was enrolled;
  • SIRAS is not always the system of record for historical district enrollment; and
  • a later Current record may no longer be at the same district or may have changed designation.

That is why the historical SIRAS archive set should be treated as a candidate population that needs enrollment/date reconciliation.

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Improve the Estimate by Pivoting on Enrollment

For a more defensible historical head count, obtain the best available list of students enrolled during the same academic year or measurement date, then compare that list with the broader SIRAS historical candidate set.

  1. Obtain the same-timeframe SENR enrollment population from the district's enrollment source or applicable CALPADS enrollment report.
  2. Build the SIRAS historical candidate set for the same year/date.
  3. Export the SIRAS result.
  4. Compare the two populations by SSID.
  5. Investigate students found only on one side instead of deleting them from the working set automatically.
  6. Use the verified enrollment/participation timeline to decide whether each candidate belongs in the reconstructed population.
Need to compare two bulk files?
Use SIRAS vs. CALPADS Bulk Extract Reconciliation.

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When Reconstructing Multiple Academic Years

Use Reset Search between academic years so records from the prior query do not contaminate the next Found Set.

  1. Run one academic year at a time.
  2. Export each year to its own file.
  3. Put the academic year in the filename.
  4. Preserve the query/date criteria used for that file.
  5. Compare each year's SIRAS candidate set with the corresponding SENR enrollment population.

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Export the Historical Candidate Set

  1. Prepare the Student List fields you need for the historical review.
  2. Run the historical query and Search to List.
  3. Open Tools → Data Export.
  4. Export the selected data to Excel or the approved working format.
  5. Name the file with the academic year/date and purpose.

For export mechanics, see Data Export Help.

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Compare the Estimate with CALPADS or Other Evidence

When the reconstruction is being used for reporting research:

  • keep the SIRAS historical estimate and SENR enrollment population as separate source files;
  • document which records were included/excluded and why;
  • do not treat the reconstructed SIRAS count as the official certified CALPADS count; and
  • investigate individual discrepancies with Data Monitoring Help.
If an actual same-date SIRAS snapshot exists, use that file instead of reconstructing the Current population from archives.

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